Real Clear Politics’s Sean Trende walks us through updated census figures.
Highlights and surprises from the update:
South and Westward shift continues, so does Blue State exodus to Red.
Florida still ranks 4th largest state, barely behind New York.
If current population trends continue, California may fail to gain an additional Elector. New York may fail to shed one.
It’s that most wonderful time of the year for numbers geeks, when the Census Bureau releases its annual figures for changes in the U.S. population. While these numbers are estimates, they do give us some insight into how the population is shifting.
Once again, we’re seeing substantial movement toward the South and West. The biggest population gains from 2012 to 2013 came in Texas (387,000 people), California (333,000), Florida (232,000), North Carolina (100,000), and Colorado (79,000). Meanwhile, the Northeast continues its trend of remaining stagnant. West Virginia and Maine show very slight actual decreases, while Vermont, Rhode Island, and New Hampshire all essentially remain the same.
In terms of how this relates to electoral politics, the most interesting way of massaging the data at this point is to compare them to the 2010 numbers, and extrapolate those changes to how the House of Representatives will apportion its seats in 2020.
Read the original article on RCP.