Alaska: Ron Paul is focusing heavily on Alaska. It could provide the Paul campaign with his first win in the GOP Primary. I say let him have it. Mrs. Joe Miller’s endorsement will probably help push him over the top among the party faithful.
Georgia: This is Newt Gingrich’s home state. It should go without saying that he is set to wipe out his opponents and the RCP Average backs up the foregone conclusion.
Idaho: Western states tend to favor Mitt Romney. Ron Paul has this one on his big 3 wish list, but I wouldn’t be so sure.
Massachusetts: Mitt Romney’s adopted home state had better go decisively for the former governor of he’s in bigger trouble than you think.
North Dakota: Here’s another one Ron Paul has predicted will go in his column. I’m saying it’s a tossup between Paul and Romney. The fact that it’s a caucus helps Paul, the fact that it’s a closed election helps Romney. I’m predicting it goes narrowly for Romney.
Ohio: This one is the big enchilada. Considered the ultimate swing state, no candidate from either party had become the ultimate nominee in recent history without winning the Ohio primary – that is, until Barack Obama lost decisively to Hillary Clinton in March 2008 and went on to become the Democrat nominee anyway. With a similar electorate to Michigan, Ohio is home to a huge bloc of “very conservative” blue collar voters. Unlike Michigan, Mitt Romney is not considered a native son in the Buckeye State. Yet, with dual victories serving as the wind at Romney’s back and the GOP establishment coalescing behind him, Romney has caught up to Rick Santorum in this crucial state. With Santorum absent from the ballot in several CD’s, Romney appears poised for a decisive victory.
Oklahoma: Newt Gingrich is counting on a victory here. At least, he was counting on one before this week (now the campaign is only talking about Georgia). Rick Santorum could scoop up support from the uber-conservative voters in this perennial red state.
Tennessee: This state is custom made for Newt Gingrich or Rick Santorum, yet Mitt Romney has climbed to within the margin of error and one poll even shows him ahead. I’m betting Mitt rides the momentum to victory tomorrow.
Vermont: Mitt Romney is out well ahead in this race and should pull out a victory without expending resources. Then again, the lack of focus could result in a surprise.
Virginia: With only Mitt Romney and Ron Paul on the ballot, it would be a huge surprise if Mitt Romney didn’t win a blowout in the Old Dominion.
Conclusion: Ron Paul wins Alaska. Newt Gingrich wins Georgia. Rick Santorum wins Oklahoma. Mitt Romney wins the rest in a rout, though some very narrowly.
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